MMA Bets

UFC 103 Results

2009-09-21T17:22:00.001-04:00

Didn't do a UFC 103 breakdown, didn't have the time to do so.
I had underdog bets on Belfort & Trigg as well as a bet on Crocop (never again!).
I went 2-3 on the night but put most of my money on Belfort so I'm back in the black.

Match

Winner

Loser

Method

Round

Time

1	Rafael dos Anjos	Robert Emerson	Decision (Unanimous)	3	5:00
2	Vladimir Matyushenko	Igor Pokrajac	Decision (Unanimous)	3	5:00
3	Eliot Marshall	Jason Brilz	Decision (Unanimous)	3	5:00
4	Ricky Story	Brian Foster	Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)	2	1:09
5	Nik Lentz	Rafaello Oliveira	Decision (Unanimous)	3	5:00
6	Jim Miller	Steve Lopez	TKO (Shoulder Injury)	2	0:48
7	Tomasz Drwal	Drew McFedries	Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)	2	1:03
8	Efrain Escudero	Cole Miller	TKO (Punches)	1	3:36
9	Tyson Griffin	Hermes Franca	TKO (Punches)	2	3:26
10	Josh Koscheck	Frank Trigg	TKO (Punches)	1	1:25
11	Paul Daley	Martin Kampmann	TKO (Punches)	1	2:31
12	Junior dos Santos	Mirko Filipovic	Submission (Punch)	3	2:00
13	Vitor Belfort	Rich Franklin	TKO (Punches)	1	3:02

UFC Fight Night 19 Results

2009-09-19T10:36:00.002-04:00

Wow, I don't like losing money but I can't stay mad at Huerta. He looked pretty damn durable after 1 year off. Hopefully he comes back soon and takes a run at the LHW belt.
I went 50% on the night.

Match

Winner

Loser

Method

Round

Time

1	Ryan Jensen	Steve Steinbeiss	Technical Submission (Guillotine Choke)	1	3:56
2	Mike Pierce	Brock Larson	Decision (Unanimous)	3	5:00
3	Jeremy Stephens	Justin Buchholz	TKO (Doctor Stoppage)	1	3:32
4	CB Dollaway	Jay Silva	Decision (Unanimous)	3	5:00
5	Mike Pyle	Chris Wilson	Submission (Guillotine Choke)	3	2:15
6	Brian Stann	Steve Cantwell	Decision (Unanimous)	3	5:00
7	Nate Quarry	Tim Credeur	Decision (Unanimous)	3	5:00
8	Carlos Condit	Jake Ellenberger	Decision (Split)	3	5:00
9	Gray Maynard	Roger Huerta	Decision (Split)	3	5:00
10	Nate Diaz	Melvin Guillard	Submission (Guillotine Choke)	2	2:13

UFC Fight Night 19

2009-09-04T18:24:00.003-04:00

Ultimate Fighting Championship

September 16, 2009

Cox Convention Center,
Oklahoma City

Nate Diaz (-230) vs. Melvin Guillard (+210)
Diaz is coming off back-to-back losses for the first time in his career. I won't knock him for losing the Guida fight as Guida uses a disguised form of lay-and-pray in most of his fights (67% of his fights in the UFC have gone to decision, YAWN). Guillard is athletic and has some decent hands but has shown to be susceptible to submissions. Diaz has decent standup in his own right and his ground game is top notch.
Prediction: Nate Diaz (Submission)

Gray Maynard (-278) vs. Roger Huerta (+277)
We got Maynard who's fights are the common cure for insomnia vs. Roger 'Hollywood' Huerta. Maynard is heavily hyped and has a solid record where as Huerta hasn't seen the inside of the octagon in over a year. Bookmakers have Huerta as a significant underdog and that is enough for me to put my money on him to pick up the win. I see this as a decision win either way as their punching power is dubious and I trust both of their submission defenses to be capable. Huerta was showing a lot of potential before he went off to make what i'll guess will be a terrible video-game movie so i'm looking for him to reestablish himself with a win here.
Prediction: Roger Huerta (Decision)

Lots more fights on the card but can't say i'm interested enough in them to take a good look.

UFC 102 - Couture vs. Nogueira Results

2009-08-30T20:29:00.001-04:00

Ouch, you go heavy on underdogs and you set yourself up for failure :p
So I go 2/6 and now I need to find a hole to crawl into.

Match

Winner

Loser

Method

Round

Time

1	Evan Dunham	Marcus Aurelio	Decision (Split)	3	5:00
2	Mark Munoz	Nick Catone	Decision (Split)	3	5:00
3	Todd Duffee	Tim Hague	KO (Punches)	1	0:07
4	Michael Russow	Justin McCully	Decision (Unanimous)	3	5:00
5	Gabriel Gonzaga	Chris Tuchscherer	TKO (Punches)	1	2:27
6	Aaron Simpson	Ed Herman	TKO (Knee Injury)	2	0:17
7	Brandon Vera	Krzysztof Soszynski	Decision (Unanimous)	3	5:00
8	Nate Marquardt	Demian Maia	KO (Punch)	1	0:21
9	Jake Rosholt	Chris Leben	Technical Submission (Arm-Triangle Choke)	3	1:30
10	Thiago Silva	Keith Jardine	TKO (Punches)	1	1:35
11	Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira	Randy Couture	Decision (Unanimous)	3	5:00

UFC 102 Betting Sheet

2009-08-29T19:17:00.003-04:00

If you want to do some betting locally then print off some of these and hand them out.
Below is a preview, click on the image to go to JustBleed.com to grab the larger image for printing.

My Money!

2009-08-26T13:17:00.002-04:00

I've added a running total of my gains/losses along the right hand side.
This is a more telling figure then the amount of times I am correct as betting on underdogs for a payday will skew those numbers.

The $8.66 I made before I started this blog was from a parlay bet of $10 on A.Silva and BJ.Penn at UFC 101.

UFC 102 Update

2009-08-25T17:24:00.002-04:00

I changed my pick on Vera vs. Soszynski.
I will take the underdog and put some money on Soszynski.

I've updated the UFC 102 post to reflect this change.
Felt like a toss up to me so that is good enough for an underdog bet in my eyes.

UFC 102 - Couture vs. Nogueira

2009-08-17T23:06:00.016-04:00

Ultimate Fighting Championship

August 29, 2009

Rose Garden Arena,
Portland, Ore.

Randy Couture (-165) vs. Antonio Rodrigo Nogueira (+160)
So we have a wrestler and ground and pound expert who hasn't been submitted since 2002 vs. IMO the best heavyweight submission fighter of all time. I give the stand-up nod to Randy as he has developed some decent striking. Nogueiras striking was solid while with PRIDE and I think in the Mir fight he looked really sloppy on his feet so I expect to see some better striking from him in this fight. I expect the majority of this fight to take place on the ground with Couture on top. I think he is too savvy to get caught in a submission and Nogueira is so damn durable that I see this fight going to Couture but not early.
Prediction: Randy Couture (Decision)

Keith Jardine (-155) vs. Thiago Silva (+150)
This is a tough fight to call and should be short and sweet. Both fighters are in the upper echelon in the division and both have the power to finish fights quickly. The odds on Silva are too attractive for me to pass up so I'm betting on Silva scoring a takedown and pounding out Jardine from there. A KO victory for Jardine though would not exactly surprise me.
Prediction: Thiago Silva (TKO)

Chris Leben (-145) vs. Jake Rosholt (+140)
I don't know much about Rosholt but I do know that Leben has heavy hands and a granite chin. Rosholt appears to be a banger which is right up Lebens alley so I see somebody getting KO'd before the 15m are up.
Prediction: Chris Leben (KO)

Nate Marquardt (-140) vs. Demian Maia (+140)
This fight should be excellent and I really look forward to it. Maia's submission game is top shelf and Marquardt is very well rounded. I see Marquardt trying to keep the fight standing where he will have a definite advantage. If it goes to the ground I give it 50/50 as to whether Maia can finish him. I'm going with the more attractive line here and taking Maia to pull off the upset.
Prediction: Demian Maia (Submission)

Brandon Vera (-165) vs. Krzysztof Soszynski (+160)
Soszynski has looked very solid of late compiling a 6 fight win streak. Vera is found in the dictionary under the term "hot and cold". Vera certainly has the hype factor on his side but it's hard to tell at any given time whether he is actually going to show up or not. These guys are both finishers so I don't see this going all the way. I see this as a toss up and I don't want to have to pick a winner out of the two. I'll go with the more attractive line on this one and take the underdog.
Prediction: Krzysztof Soszynski (Submission)

Gabriel Gonzaga (-350) vs. Chris Tuchscherer (+305)
Don't know much about Tuchschererbut I do know that Gonzaga has faced a lot better competition then he ever has. Gonzaga is coming off a tough loss and I don't see him dropping 2 straight again.
Prediction: Gabriel Gonzaga (TKO)

Strikeforce - Carano vs. Cyborg RESULTS

2009-08-16T19:58:00.002-04:00

Events over and I had gone with 1 underdog and 4 favourites.
Finished with a 4/5 record on the night, Ishida couldn't get the takedowns I was counting on.

Match

Winner

Loser

Method

Round

Time

1	Alexander Trevino	Isaiah Hill	Submission (Keylock)	1	3:56
2	James Terry	Zak Bucia	TKO (Head Kick and Punches)	1	1:23
3	Justin Wilcox	David Douglas	Submission (Rear-Naked Choke)	3	3:16
4	Scott Lighty	Mike Cook	TKO (Punch to the Body)	1	2:05
5	Jay Hieron	Jesse Taylor	Decision (Unanimous)	3	5:00
6	Fabricio Werdum	Mike Kyle	Submission (Guillotine Choke)	1	1:24
7	Gilbert Melendez	Mitsuhiro Ishida	TKO (Punches)	3	3:56
8	Gegard Mousasi	Renato Sobral	TKO (Punches)	1	1:00
9	Cristiane Santos	Gina Carano	TKO (Punches)	1	4:59

Strikeforce - Carano vs. Cyborg

2009-08-14T17:53:00.003-04:00

August 15, 2009

HP Pavilion,
San Jose, Calif.

Gina Carano (+160) vs. Cristiane "Cyborg" Santos (-185)
I gotta admit that I have never watched a full female MMA fight. I am not opposed to female MMA but I guess I just can't get quite into it. In any event, everything i have seen and read tells me that Cyborg is an animal and will tear Gina apart. Sex appeal aside i'm going with Cyborg on this one.
Prediction: Cristiane "Cyborg" Santos

Renato "Babalu" Sobral (+180) vs. Gegard Mousasi (-220)
I've seen a lot of Babalu and he just doesn't do it for me. He has an impressive record but Mousasi is the next big thing in this division and I think Babalu will make a fine stepping stone for him.
Prediction: Gegard Mousasi

Gilbert Melendez (-210) vs. Mitsuhiro Ishida (+175)
I haven't seen Ishida fight since his days in PRIDE but he really impressed me whenever i caught his fights. His wrestling is fantastic and he may be a bit of a lay and pray artist so while I will argue his style, I will not argue his right to use it. If Melendez can keep it standing I like his chances but I see this going to the ground and a decision.
Prediction: Mitsuhiro Ishida

Fabricio Werdum (-550) vs. Mike Kyle (+425)
Werdum has a lot of potential but had a tough go of it in the UFC. I think he can only get better and I barely remember the name Mike Kyle and I will assume that is for good reason.
Prediction: Fabricio Werdum

Jay Hieron (-180) vs. Jesse Taylor (+150)
I'm just thinking along the line on this one. Haven't seen either of these guys but Hieron has provided a great little piece for GSP's highlight reel when he got destroyed with punches. Nevertheless, i'm going with Hieron on this one.
Prediction: Jay Hieron

Welcome

2009-08-14T17:10:00.000-04:00

I've decided once again to start betting on MMA fights. I've been following the UFC since it's inception and was also a big fan of PRIDE before the UFC bought it out and destroyed it.
I watch my fair share of MMA and wanted a way to track my predictions through various MMA organizations.
I will make my predictions on most fights on every major MMA event. There will be many times where I will just be making an educated guess as I may not be familiar with both fighters in question.
Any fight that I am personally betting on I will disclose along with my prediction.
I'll keep a running tally of my record along the sidebar so let's see if I can keep my record above 50% :)

Note: I do my betting at www.5dimes.com so all odds I post with my predictions will include the current lines from their website.

MMA Bets

UFC 103 *Results*

UFC Fight Night 19 *Results*

UFC Fight Night 19

UFC 102 - Couture vs. Nogueira *Results*

UFC 102 Betting Sheet

My Money!

UFC 102 Update

UFC 102 - Couture vs. Nogueira

Strikeforce - Carano vs. Cyborg *RESULTS*

Strikeforce - Carano vs. Cyborg

Welcome

UFC 103 Results

UFC Fight Night 19 Results

UFC 102 - Couture vs. Nogueira Results

Strikeforce - Carano vs. Cyborg RESULTS